It is concluded
that deploying renewable energy technologies in the U. S. is an important objective, and that federal
subsidies supporting renewable energy should be expanded 3- to 5-fold.
Introduction. The
role of the U. S. government in supporting new energy technologies
and startup companies has come under scrutiny recently. Some have questioned whether research and
development (R&D) of new energy technologies is an appropriate function for
the federal government. On the other
hand there is no question that subsidies are also provided to established
fossil fuel companies.
A subsidy in the
energy economy has been
justified first, as a way to encourage new technologies during early phases of R&D,
and second, to account for the lower value of an enterprise viewed by the
private sector compared to its value to the public at large (see Ref. 1). The U. S. Energy Information Agency (EIA;
Ref. 2) identifies several types of subsidies, defined as originating from the
federal government, targeted for energy, and providing a financial benefit with
an identifiable budget impact. These are
Direct
Expenditures generally are
legislated programs for direct payments to support activities that provide a
financial benefit to producers or consumers of energy. Support for R&D in areas such as
increasing energy supply, increasing energy efficiency, and transmission, is
closely related, being a direct expenditure yet likely not having a direct
payoff during the period of the expenditure.
Since direct expenditures are legislated, they may be subject to
expiration and a need for reinstatement.
Tax
Expenditures are features
incorporated into the federal tax code, and so are relatively permanent. The terminology is deceptive; in fact these
are tax credits against a taxed amount due, or deductions against income prior
to calculating the tax due, and are based on having engaged in a particular
action in the energy economy considered to be desirable. Tax expenditures result in lower taxes
collected, so that they correspond to outlays from the government.
Loans
and Loan Guarantees provide
federal support for designated technologies and undertakings, typically through
the Department of Energy (DOE). The
loans support “innovative clean energy technologies that are typically unable
to obtain conventional private financing due to their ‘high technology risks.’
In addition, eligible technologies must avoid, reduce, or sequester air
pollutants or anthropogenic emissions of greenhouse gases." (Office of Management and Budget, Analytical
Perspectives of the Budget of the United States, Editions 2009 and 2012
(cited in Ref. 2)).
Two Reports on
Energy Subsidies in the U. S.
The
Environmental Law Institute
(ELI ) issued the report “Estimating U. S.
Government Subsidies to Energy Sources: 2002-2008” in September 2009 (Ref. 3). The report follows trends in subsides
directed to fossil fuels and to renewable energy sources over the seven Fiscal
Years 2002-2008. This group defines
“subsidy” as “actions by the U.S. government that provide an identifiable
financial benefit associated with the use or production of a fossil or
renewable fuel.” (Ref. 3). The report
includes conventional fossil fuels and most renewable energy sources; it omits
nuclear energy from consideration. It garners detailed fiscal statistics and
enumerates all subsidy expenditures, classified as to direct expenditures and
tax expenditures (see Details, below).
The study concludes that, for the seven
fiscal years considered, by far the largest subsidy amounts supported the
various fossil fuels, i.e., energy sources that emit large amounts of the
greenhouse gas carbon dioxide when burned, compared to subsidies supporting
renewable energy sources (see the graphic below). Specifically, federal subsidies granted to
the fossil fuel industry totaled about US$72 billion in the period studied. Most of these are essentially permanent
features incorporated into the U. S. tax code. The report notes that fossil fuels are a
mature and highly profitable industry, and questions whether taxpayer funds
should justifiably be spent supporting them.
On the other hand, subsidies supporting
renewable energy, including corn-based ethanol production, totaled about US$29
billion (see the graphic below), of which only about US$12 billion went to “traditional”
renewable energy sources such as wind, solar and hydropower. (Recent analyses have suggested that
production of corn-based ethanol, when considered over the full life cycle of
the technology, is at best neutral with respect to reducing emissions of carbon
dioxide.) “Traditional” renewable
sources represent young, developing technologies, and so are worthy of subsidy
support. In contrast to the case for
fossil fuel subsidies, subsidies for renewable energy are legislated at frequent
intervals with statutory “sunset” provisions, i.e., specific short-term
expiration dates. These features limit
the ability of renewable energy businesses to plan energy projects over the
long term.
Federal energy
subsidies for FY 2002-2008. In each
quadrant, the outer, darker ring represents tax credits or allowances (tax
expenditures), and the inner, lighter sector represents direct expenditures,
all in US$ Billions. The upper half of
the diagram relates to activities that lead to reduction of greenhouse gas
emission. The lower half relates to
activities that contribute to greenhouse gas emissions. The left half relates to fossil fuels, and
the right half to renewable energy sources.
The key in the far lower right indicates that subsidies for Traditional
Fossil Fuels in the lower left quadrant are damaging to the climate (i.e. their
use results in emission of the greenhouse gas carbon dioxide); and that
subsidies for Traditional Renewables in the upper right quadrant preserve the
climate (their use reduces or eliminates emissions of carbon dioxide).
*Carbon Capture and
Storage (upper left quadrant) is an experimental technology that would allow energy plants that
burn coal and other fossil fuels to capture and store their carbon dioxide emissions
away from the atmosphere (preserves the climate; see this post).
Although this technology does not make
coal a renewable fuel, if successful it would reduce greenhouse gas emissions
compared to coal plants that do not use this technology. **Recognizing that the production and use of Corn-based Ethanol (lower left quadrant) may generate significant greenhouse gas emissions, the graphic depicts renewable subsidies with (lower right quadrant) and without (upper right quadrant) ethanol subsidies separately.
Source: ©
Environmental Law Institute; http://www.eli.org/pdf/Energy_Subsidies_Black_Not_Green.pdf
.
Pfund and Healey, in their
report “What Would Jefferson Do?” (Ref. 1), studied the use of subsidies and related
expenditures from the beginning of the U. S. republic. Early subsidies were granted by both states
and the federal government, first to coal mining, then to oil production, as
these fuels were discovered domestically and their production grew. (The report adjusts all expenditures to current
constant dollars.) They make the point
generally that the trajectory of growth of the use these fossil fuels for
energy correlates well with the growth of the U. S. economy over time. They analyzed subsidy data starting as early
as they were available in preparing their report (see Details, below). Unfortunately, even though coal was and
remains an important aspect of the U. S. energy economy, their inability to recover
meaningful subsidy information for this fuel from its earliest use led them to
exclude it from their analyses. In
particular, their emphasis was on the role that subsidies played in the early years
of the various fuel technologies, when each respectively was being developed
into an economically viable energy source.
They do, however, include nuclear energy, while the ELI study (above) does not.
Pfund and Healy
conclude that, over the earliest 15 years of federal subsidy grants to a new
technology, nuclear energy received more than 1% of the federal budget,
subsidies to the oil and gas industry amounted to one-half percent of the
budget, whereas renewable energy sources received subsidies amounting to only
about one-tenth percent of the budget.
Thus the proportional support for oil and gas in its early years as
an industry was about 5 times greater than that for renewable energy sources. The proportional year-by-year subsidy grant
for four energy sources is shown below.
Inflation-adjusted energy subsidies as a percentage of the Federal budget during the first 15 years of each subsidy’s lifetime. The percentage scale runs from 0.00 to 0.25. The years of the subsidy life, with four bars for each year, runs from year 1 to year 15. In each year the bars represent gray, oil and gas; purple, nuclear; orange, biofuels; green, renewables.
Source: Pfund and
Healey (Ref. 1); http://i.bnet.com/blogs/dbl_energy_subsidies_paper.pdf
Pfund and Healey
characterize the early years of a technology as the period in which it is most
useful to invest public funds to seed and develop the technology for the public
good. The graphic above shows that,
staged year by year, the nuclear industry received the greatest proportion of subsidy
support, followed by oil and gas in its early years as a fuel source. Biofuels and renewable energy sources garner
much less proportional federal subsidy support (and, as indicated above,
biofuels may not contribute significantly to abating greenhouse gas emissions).
Historical average of annual subsidies in 2010
Source: Pfund and
Healey (Ref. 1); http://i.bnet.com/blogs/dbl_energy_subsidies_paper.pdf
It is clear from
the graphic above that oil and gas received the largest annual average subsidy
over almost a century of subsidy programs, and continues to receive them up to
the time of the report. The annual
average for biofuels is 22% of that for oil and gas, and the average for
renewables is only 8% of that for oil and gas.
Pfund and Healey
conclude, after considering the purpose of subsidies to encourage new
technologies and to enhance the value of an enterprise in the eyes of the private sector, that “today’s
government incentives for renewable energy pale in comparison to the kind of
support afforded emerging fuels during previous energy transitions” (Ref.
1).
Details
The
Environmental Law Institute report (Ref. 3) itemizes subsidies granted during the
seven years studied. The three largest
for fossil fuels are:
A
foreign tax credit totaling US$15.3 billion.
This credit is intended to prevent double taxation when taxes are paid
to a foreign state, but for oil and gas, this credit permits royalty payments
(ordinarily a cost of doing business) to be preferentially treated as a foreign
tax (see Ref. 3).
A
credit for production of nonconventional fuels totaling U$14.1 billion. This credit has historically benefited coal
mining, but also applies to oil from shale, tar sands, biomass, and other
special fuel sources.
A
provision that permits up-front accounting for Intangible Drilling Costs rather
than long-term amortization, totaling US$ 7.1 billion.
For
renewable energy sources, the largest subsidies include
The
Volumetric Ethanol Excise Tax Credit totaling US$11.6 billion, excludes ethanol
on a per gallon basis from the general fuel excise tax imposed throughout the
U. S.
The
Renewable Electricity Production Credit totaling US$5.2 billion applies to
electricity production from wind, solar, biomass, geothermal, hydropower, and
other sources.
A
direct payment subsidy from the Department of Agriculture totaling US$5.0
billion for raising corn. Although not
intended by statute for ethanol production, this subsidy operates in
conjunction with a Congressional mandate from 2005 that stimulates demand for
ethanol.
The
report by Pfund and Healey
(Ref. 1) provides details on several aspects of subsidy policy. They note that “not all subsidies are created
equal.”
Although
they did not analyze the early years of coal mining for lack of data, they
point out that a reclassification of royalties received on coal mining as
capital gains during the Korean War permitted the recipients to pay far less
income tax, since the top marginal individual rate at the time was as high as
91%. This tax provision was considered
in the national interest during the Korean War, but it is still in effect even
though that war is over, and the top tax rate is far lower now. In its early days in the 19th
century, coal was promoted largely at the state level as a source of energy,
although a 10% tariff on imported coal was in effect from before 1800. Subsequently, the growth of the coal industry
was closely coupled to that of the railroad industry, including its interests
in real property and mineral assets.
The
oil and gas industry, the authors point out, benefits from two subsidy provisions. The first, introduced in 1916, permitted
rapid recovery of intangible drilling costs and dry hole costs in the year
incurred rather than being depreciated over several years. The second, the excess of percentage over
cost depletion deferral, introduced in 1926, permits deduction of a percentage
of gross revenues rather than a deduction based on the value of the extracted
resources. Even in the mid-1980s, these
two provisions represented the largest tax credits, and hence, the largest
estimated losses in federal revenues, arising from the oil and gas industry.
The
nuclear industry benefited from the Price-Anderson Act, which granted federal
protection of utilities operating nuclear facilities in the event of a nuclear
accident. This provision was likely
crucial in development of the nuclear industry, since no utility was likely to
proceed with nuclear energy in its absence.
Subsidies
for renewable energy began with the Energy Policy Act of 1992. It grants a production tax credit of 2010
US$0.015/kWh for electricity generated from wind or biomass, now extended to
other sources as well. An investment tax
credit has applied off-and-on for residential solar, and is now in place until
2016. The production tax credit for wind
has also been in force in fits and starts, being reinstated, after several
expirations, for only one- or two-year terms.
The result is a great variability in installation of new wind generation
capability, as shown below:
Cumulative wind generating capacity (left axis, blue line) and capacity added each year (right axis, green bars) for years from 1981 to 2006. The arrows show years in which the Production Tax Credit expired without being renewed.
Source: Pfund and Healey, Ref. 1; http://i.bnet.com/blogs/dbl_energy_subsidies_paper.pdf.
The three arrows in the graphic above show years in which the Production Tax Credit(PTC ) lapsed without being reinstated. This break in the continuity of support had a
drastic effect, reducing the rate of installation of new wind generating
capacity dramatically in the affected years (see the graphic above).
Source: Pfund and Healey, Ref. 1; http://i.bnet.com/blogs/dbl_energy_subsidies_paper.pdf.
The three arrows in the graphic above show years in which the Production Tax Credit
The
EIA report “Direct Federal Financial Interventions and Subsidies in Energy in
Fiscal Year 2010” (Ref. 2)
gives a detailed exposition of the expenditures in all the energy subsidy
programs operating in FY 2010. These
data are referenced to corresponding data for FY 2007. The reader is referred to the original for
more details.
Analysis
Two separate studies
of U.
S.
federal energy subsidies are considered here.
The first, by ELI (Ref. 3), reports on subsidies in the
restricted period of the seven U. S. fiscal years 2002-2008. It included the coal industry but did not
consider nuclear energy. The second
study, by Pfund and Healey (Ref. 1), covers subsidy programs in energy
throughout the history of the U. S.
Since records of early subsidies for coal energy were difficult to
assemble, they omitted coal from the analysis, whereas nuclear energy is included. Pfund and Healey place considerable emphasis
on the first fifteen years of subsidies in an energy sector regardless of its
chronological occurrence.
Both studies
arrived at very similar conclusions in spite of the great difference in their
approaches to analyzing subsidy data. ELI finds that in the seven years examined,
subsidies for fossil fuels were about US$72 billion, while subsidies for
renewables were about US$29 billion (over half of which benefited corn-based
ethanol). Thus, at a time not
significantly removed from the present, fossil fuels were subsidized at a rate
about 2.5 times as great as were renewable energy sources.
Pfund and Healey
devised a creative analysis that enabled them to compare subsidies that were in
effect at different historical times.
They find that in the first fifteen years of subsidizing a particular
energy sector, subsidies supporting the nuclear industry, the oil and gas
industry, and renewable energy were granted in the ratio of approximately
10:5:1, based on their portion of the federal budget at the respective times
they occurred. Thus at the stage in the
development of the respective sector, when it is novel and worthy of public
support for further development, the oil and gas industry received about five
times as much support, adjusted for inflation, as the renewable energy sector.
Both reports point
out that currently the oil and gas industry (and the fossil fuel industry in
general) is mature and profitable, no longer in need of subsidies to promote
further growth. Renewable energy, on the
other hand, is a nascent industry, which, among other factors, has not yet
reached a point where economies of scale have been fully realized. In addition
to the disparity in subsidy rates for the two sectors, Pfund and Healey point
out that the oil and gas industry was able to expand into an uncluttered, newly
created market for its products in the early years of the 20th
century. Currently, however, renewable
energy sources have to compete against, indeed have to displace, energy
provided by fossil fuel sources—a much more challenging task. Renewable energy
reduces the dependence of the U. S. on fossil fuels for its energy, especially
the need to import oil from sources abroad whose reliability may be
questionable. Use of renewable energy
mitigates the emission of greenhouse gases into the atmosphere, thus abating
the increase in the long-term average worldwide average temperature. These factors support the expansion of
subsidies to be provided to renewable energy sources. There is no longer a need in our energy policy
for continued subsidization of the fossil fuel industry, while the need for expanding
support for renewable energy sources is evident.
As noted above, in
the mature energy economy of the U. S. , renewable energy largely supplants, rather
than complements, energy from fossil fuels.
It has been argued that renewable energy would lead to loss of
jobs. But this is not the case; our growing
energy economy would continue to provide new job opportunities as renewable
energy expands, both during construction and operation of renewable facilities
(see this previous post for an analysis of jobs created by renewable energy).
As pointed out by
Pfund and Healey, the Congressional policy (or lack thereof) with regard to the
Production Tax Credit for wind energy demonstrates the critical need for
consistent long-term fiscal incentives in developing a new energy technology. This lack of consistency also stands in
contrast to those tax credits for oil and gas that are permanently enshrined in
the federal tax code. Permanence ensures
consistency in long-term planning by private enterprises. A more enduring subsidy policy should be
considered for renewable energy sources.
Conclusion
Subsidies have
played a positive role in developing energy throughout the history of the U.
S. Unfortunately, the rate of
subsidizing renewable energy has fallen far short of the levels supporting
other energy sectors over the years.
Developing and deploying renewable energy facilities is critical for our
national security, freeing us from dependence on foreign sources of fossil fuel. Thriving job opportunities would also
result. Renewable energy contributes
significantly to abating man-made global warming arising from burning fossil
fuels. For these reasons the level of
federal subsidy support for renewable energy sources should be expanded 3- to
5-fold.
References
1.
“What Would Jefferson Do? The Historical Role of Federal
Subsidies in
Shaping America’s Energy Future”, by Nancy Pfund
and Ben Healey, DBL Investors, September 2011; http://i.bnet.com/blogs/dbl_energy_subsidies_paper.pdf.
2.
“Direct Federal Financial Interventions and Subsidies in Energy in Fiscal Year
2010”, EIA, July 2011; http://www.eia.gov/analysis/requests/subsidy/pdf/subsidy.pdf.
3.
“Estimating U. S. Government Subsidies to Energy Sources: 2002-2008”,
Environmental Law Institute, September 2009; http://www.elistore.org/Data/products/d19_07.pdf.
© 2012 Henry Auer
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