The city of Oakland California has unanimously turned down permitting of a
large coal transshipping terminal on its waterfront. Earlier, an even larger terminal project in Washington State was rejected because it would have
infringed Native American rights.
In view of the
undisputed and urgent need to limit the level of atmospheric carbon dioxide,
governments at all levels, local, state or provincial, and national, must act to
limit greenhouse gas emissions. The
action by Oakland is fully consistent with, indeed was driven
by, this necessity for action.
A principal reason
for voting the terminal down was that it, and thereby the city, would be
facilitating the worsening of global warming and rising sea levels. This would have been the consequence as the
coal was burned in the destination countries if the terminal were allowed to
operate. Coal is the worst of the fossil
fuels from this regard, emitting almost twice as much carbon dioxide (CO2),
a major greenhouse gas, as natural gas.
The Oakland City Council understood that, once emitted, CO2
is distributed worldwide in the atmosphere, worsening the effects of global
warming for all nations, not just the country burning the coal.
During the
Council’s deliberations one of the developer’s lawyers called the city’s concerns
that coal exported from Oakland would increase emissions of CO2 “nonsensical and
absurd” because foreign power plants could obtain their fuel elsewhere if it
were not shipped from Oakland . The lawyer also argued
that by Oakland ’s reasoning, “the city would have to hold
gas station owners responsible for greenhouse gas emissions from cars that
refuel at their facility”.
The State of Washington . In
May 2016 the U. S. Army Corps of Engineers denied the permit for what would
have been the world’s largest coal shipping terminal to be constructed 90 miles
north of Seattle, Washington.
The Corps found that treaties between
the U.
S.
and Native Americans governing use of their lands and waterways preserve their
rights for fishing. The terminal’s
facilities would have endangered these rights.
The coal for this terminal would have originated in the states of Montana and Wyoming .
Cities along the rail route to the intended terminal also raised
concerns over possible disasters from derailments, especially in urban areas
crossed by the railroad.
Domestic
American demand for coal has been declining for many years. A
major use for coal has been in generation of electricity, but utilities have
spontaneously switched to natural gas because it is cheaper than coal and is
more efficient in generating electricity.
In April 2015 31% of electricity generation was fueled by natural gas,
exceeding use of coal, at 30%, for the first time. As seen in the
following graphic, the proportional use of coal in generating electricity has
been falling steadily since 1988, during the administration of President
Reagan. It has fallen more sharply since
about 2008, as natural gas became more abundant and cheaper as a result of
hydraulic fracturing.
For decades, coal has been the dominant energy source for generating electricity in the United States. EIA's Short-Term Energy Outlook (STEO) is now forecasting that 2016 will be the first year that natural gas-fired generation exceeds coal generation in the United States on an annual basis.
Source: U. S. Energy Information Agency. http://www.eia.gov/todayinenergy/detail.cfm?id=25392
As a result of the
decreased demand for coal in the U. S. American producers have sought to sell
their product abroad. Even so, Peabody
Energy, the coal mining company that was a major sponsor of the Washington
State terminal project, filed for bankruptcy in April 2016. Arch Coal, a mining company that had been backing yet another terminal project
on the Columbia River, the border between the states of Washington and Oregon,
declared bankruptcy in January 2016.
Foreign demand
for coal. In addition to falling domestic demand,
foreign demand for coal is also falling.
China imported 33.7% less coal in June 2015 than a year earlier, due to decreased Chinese demand. Other factors contributing to falling demand
for U.
S.
coal exports include a stronger U. S. dollar, which makes foreign coal
purchases from the U. S. more expensive, and the fact that other
sources of coal, such as Australia and Indonesia , are closer to China .
Discussion
The decision by the
Oakland City Council is a principled action that recognizes the need for all
jurisdictions, local, state or provincial, and national, to take positive steps
to reduce annual rates of emission to near zero as soon as
possible. This need is based on the fact
that most CO2, once emitted into the atmosphere, resides there for
centuries or longer; there is no natural mechanism that removes it from the
air. Therefore the total accumulated
amount of CO2 keeps increasing as long as the rate of
emission is higher than zero.
The need to achieve
near-zero rates of emission was recognized early, for example, by the
California Science and Technology Council. It has been reasserted in the
strongest of terms in the most recent findings from the Intergovernmental Panel
on Climate Change in its Fifth Assessment Report. This necessity was embraced by almost
all countries of the world in the United Nations-sponsored Paris Agreement of
December 2015. In fact this necessity is precisely
why, ultimately, the argument of the Oakland terminal’s proponent, that gasoline service
stations promote further global warming, is correct! In the not too distant future service
stations will be charging electric cars and providing hydrogen for fuel
cell-driven cars.
The developer of
the Oakland terminal project presented a false argument. It
stated that denying the terminal was useless because foreign customers could
obtain coal from other sources. This argument
is morally wrong, indeed empty, because it seeks incorrectly to place blame on
future emissions from coal obtained other than by shipping through Oakland back on the city. Every jurisdiction must act in the interests
of its citizens and those of others affected by its decisions. Given the worldwide effects of CO2
emissions regardless of where it is emitted, facilitating further emissions
instead of resisting them damages all humanity.
This author has commented in the same way when the exact same argument
was used by TransCanada, the proponent of the XL oil pipeline.
© 2016 Henry Auer